Two weeks before the presidential elections in the United States, a “bomb” exploded: two confidential documents from the American intelligence services were leaked with sensitive information about how Israel plans to attack Iran.
The two documents were even channeled to a pro-Iranian website, so that the Tehran regime would be informed for sure and, apparently, receive your measurements!
The pro-government Israeli newspaper Jerusalem Post however, he openly accused the Biden administration of “leaking the documents to the Iranian government, revealing the date and specific objectives of the operation’!
Politically, the leak represents putting the alliance between the United States and Israel at riskas it exposes Tel Aviv’s military strategy and could provoke a response from Iran, exacerbating regional tensions.
Strategically, the leak of documents gives Iran a tactical advantage, allowing it to anticipate possible Israeli moves and prepare countermeasures, which could alter the balance of power between the two sides. Furthermore, the leak of such information at such a delicate stage in relations between Iran and the West increases the risks of escalation in the Middle East.
In any case, writes the renowned American website Axios, “the disclosure of this classified information could undermine trust between the United States and its allies, as well as pose a threat to national security”.
The Biden administration is obviously conducting investigations to determine the source of the leak, but the Israelites insist that it was done on purpose.
Democrats’ fear
What is certain is that the Democrats They fear that an Israeli attack on Iran will cause oil prices and inflation to soar. Much more if there is an attack on the Islamic Republic’s oil installations.
“This fact should not be underestimated, because Even the smallest crisis could cause a major boom in energy prices, increasing discontent among American citizens and the chances of Donald Trump’s election.”emphasize energy sources in “Naftemporiki”.
The Republican candidate focuses mainly on economic policy, as he is seen in polls as more reliable than Harris on the economy. Trump has been harshly attacking Democrats, accusing them of not knowing how to deal with high inflation over the past two years.
An oil shock on the eve of the elections would be politically presented by Trump as confirmation of this narrative. It is no coincidence that he told Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to “do whatever he has to do” in Iran.
Of course, there will be no immediate impact on Americans’ pocketbooks, but reports of a risk of energy shock in the event of an Israeli attack should not be underestimated. Additional, Effectively giving Netanyahu the green light for attacks on oil installations – as strategic analyst Edward Lutwaks suggests – would trigger a series of unforeseen crises, at a political, geostrategic and economic level.
Limit the “fire”
The main concern of the Biden-Harris duo is to limit the “fire” that has ignited in recent weeks in the Middle East. Biden has already sent his special envoy, Amos Hochstein, to Beirut and Tel Aviv in an attempt to calm tempers, at least until the presidential elections.
Israel, however, not only does not back down, continuing its bombing from Lebanon to Beirut, but also sets challenging conditions for accepting a ceasefire, demanding that its Israeli air force have freedom of flight in Lebanese airspace.