Michel Barnier’s government in France will face its first major parliamentary test before the presentation of the draft state budget for 2025 and the consultation on it that begins tonight in the French National Assembly.
Under pressure from the markets and also from Brussels, the State Budget project foresees savings of 60 billion euros, which will come largely from the reduction in State expenses and, to a lesser extent, from the increase in tax revenues.
Correlations in the French National Assembly
Given the lack of a parliamentary majority, but also the difference of opinion between the parties that theoretically support the Barnier government, the approval of the new French State budget through parliamentary means is considered quite unfeasible. Given this, most political analysts estimate that, once again, under Macron’s presidency, the government will make use of Article 49.3 of the French Constitution, which gives it the ability to legislate without requiring a vote in the French National Assembly.
Motion of censure;
In this case, the French government will once again be faced with an impeachment motion, which, in order to be approved and lead to its downfall, will have to be voted in favor by both Marine Le Pen’s far-right faction and almost everyone from deputies from parties participating in the alliance of left-wing parties, the New Popular Front. Its left-wing parties have indicated that they intend to present a formal proposal even before the start of parliamentary consultations. The leader of far-right deputies in the National Assembly, Marine Le Pen, has hinted that she is not expected to vote in favor of the impeachment motion at this stage, but her party president, Jordan Bardela, has not ruled out this happening later . internship.
Source: RES-MPE